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Red50
234254.6
345131.1
54227.8
Blue98
526527.8
13346.7
454626.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918560801001201405098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.62.2
54.652.4
Auto7.3
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 7.8
133
#9
46.70.4
38.438.8
Auto1.6
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
3451
#13
31.12.2
30.728.5
Auto0.7
Teleop30.3
End0.0
red by 3.3
5265
#12
27.80.4
24.925.3
Auto0.7
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
5422
#39
7.82.2
8.05.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.1
End0.0
blue by 19.0
4546
#20
26.80.4
26.026.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0