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Red73
490632.5
23818.6
124710.0
Blue127
15122.2
346740.1
183129.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5285010015020073127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4906
#19
32.50.7
29.930.6
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
blue by 7.6
40.12.2
37.740.0
Auto0.2
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Second
238
#34
18.60.7
18.619.3
Auto1.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 11.1
1831
#15
29.72.2
23.826.0
Auto1.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
1247
#38
10.00.7
10.210.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 12.2
151
#24
22.22.2
20.923.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.5
End0.0