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Red0
455516.2
151218.2
349910.4
Blue58
130716.8
528623.1
172919.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5351020406080100058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1512
#27
18.22.6
19.516.9
Auto0.8
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5286
#25
23.10.1
20.420.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
4555
#29
16.22.6
18.716.1
Auto0.5
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 2.8
1729
#32
19.00.1
18.518.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
3499
#40
10.42.6
13.911.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 6.4
1307
#36
16.80.1
16.516.7
Auto0.7
Teleop16.1
End0.0