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Red48
547122.6
492919.0
23818.6
Blue72
105824.0
54227.8
12637.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62592040801004872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5471
#21
22.60.7
23.322.6
Auto0.2
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 15.0
126
#14
37.62.2
35.037.1
Auto0.6
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
4929
#23
19.00.7
19.719.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 5.0
1058
#28
24.01.9
22.524.4
Auto0.1
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
238
#34
18.60.7
19.318.6
Auto1.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 10.8
5422
#39
7.81.9
5.87.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.1
End0.0