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Red94
455516.2
456450.7
550626.2
Blue60
151218.2
264830.2
332312.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965101509460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.1
50.150.2
Auto1.3
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 20.5
2648
#10
30.20.0
30.630.6
Auto0.6
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
5506
#17
26.20.1
26.126.2
Auto0.5
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 7.9
1512
#27
18.20.0
16.916.9
Auto0.8
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4555
#29
16.20.1
16.116.2
Auto0.5
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 3.7
3323
#35
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0