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Red146
393040.4
183129.7
526527.8
Blue92
130716.8
512240.2
346740.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839405015020025030035014692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.42.9
36.439.4
Auto1.2
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 0.2
40.20.2
39.439.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
1831
#15
29.72.9
26.029.0
Auto1.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 10.4
40.10.2
40.039.8
Auto0.2
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Third
5265
#12
27.82.9
25.328.2
Auto0.7
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 11.0
1307
#36
16.80.2
16.716.5
Auto0.7
Teleop16.1
End0.0