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Red66
555614.2
172919.0
454626.8
Blue74
492519.9
31925.9
447323.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556801001502002503006674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#20
26.80.4
26.526.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 0.9
319
#22
25.90.3
25.625.9
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
1729
#32
19.00.4
18.619.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4473
#18
23.50.3
23.223.5
Auto1.2
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
5556
#37
14.20.4
13.914.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4925
#31
19.90.3
19.619.9
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0