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Red111
21326.6
234254.6
13124.4
Blue21
124710.0
349910.4
15122.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1023305015020011121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.60.8
52.453.2
Auto7.3
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 32.3
151
#24
22.20.9
23.122.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Second
213
#30
26.60.8
19.720.5
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 16.1
3499
#40
10.40.9
11.310.4
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
131
#26
24.40.8
22.923.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 14.4
1247
#38
10.00.9
10.910.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0