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Red135
13346.7
345131.1
490632.5
Blue117
88536.7
81132.9
528623.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9780050150135117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#9
46.71.9
38.840.7
Auto1.6
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 10.1
885
#7
36.71.6
33.835.4
Auto1.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Second
4906
#19
32.51.9
30.632.5
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
811
#8
32.91.6
31.332.9
Auto2.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
3451
#13
31.11.9
28.530.4
Auto0.7
Teleop30.3
End0.0
red by 8.0
5286
#25
23.11.6
20.522.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0