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Red14
555614.2
13346.7
349910.4
Blue43
332312.5
526527.8
13837.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53512030406070801443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#9
46.72.0
32.530.4
Auto1.6
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 9.2
138
#11
37.60.2
27.427.2
Auto0.4
Teleop37.1
End0.0
Second
5556
#37
14.22.0
9.07.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 13.5
5265
#12
27.80.2
18.318.1
Auto0.7
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
3499
#40
10.42.0
13.010.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 2.0
3323
#35
12.50.2
7.16.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0