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Red109
9523.7
151954.8
130716.1
Blue53
81120.9
13828.0
19019.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946205015020010953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.3
54.154.4
Auto11.5
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 26.8
138
#5
28.00.3
28.328.0
Auto0.4
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
95
#9
23.70.3
22.923.2
Auto1.3
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 2.7
811
#19
20.90.3
21.220.9
Auto1.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
1307
#23
16.10.3
15.415.6
Auto1.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 3.9
190
#24
19.90.3
20.219.9
Auto0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0