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Red132
9523.7
151954.8
130716.1
Blue72
287616.6
15719.4
395814.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8941010015020013272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.8
51.652.4
Auto11.5
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 35.5
157
#10
19.40.4
19.019.4
Auto0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
95
#9
23.70.8
20.521.2
Auto1.3
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 7.0
2876
#16
16.60.4
16.316.6
Auto0.8
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
1307
#23
16.10.8
12.913.7
Auto1.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0
red by 1.3
3958
#22
14.80.4
14.414.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0