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Red82
8832.5
234236.1
151210.6
Blue69
88521.0
360917.1
151718.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions814901001502008269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.1
36.036.1
Auto1.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 15.1
885
#12
21.00.3
20.721.0
Auto1.0
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
88
#3
32.50.1
32.432.5
Auto1.1
Teleop31.4
End0.0
red by 14.1
1517
#14
18.40.3
18.018.4
Auto2.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
1512
#37
10.60.1
10.510.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 6.6
3609
#11
17.10.3
16.817.1
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0