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Red13
81120.9
130716.1
287616.6
Blue15
128915.4
13120.0
516312.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344102060801001201401601315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#19
20.91.0
15.614.7
Auto1.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 0.9
131
#13
20.02.2
17.215.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
2876
#16
16.61.0
15.214.2
Auto0.8
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
1289
#15
15.42.2
7.35.1
Auto0.6
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
1307
#23
16.11.0
5.74.8
Auto1.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
5163
#32
12.32.2
16.814.6
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0