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Red22
490525.5
127712.5
237011.3
Blue9
151718.4
33236.9
549110.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33260406080100120140229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.0
15.014.0
Auto1.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 7.1
1517
#14
18.41.6
11.39.7
Auto2.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
1277
#31
12.51.0
5.44.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 1.6
5491
#33
10.91.6
7.76.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
2370
#27
11.31.0
13.212.2
Auto0.8
Teleop10.5
End0.0
red by 4.5
3323
#39
6.91.6
9.57.9
Auto0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0