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Red38
359717.6
172920.1
356614.6
Blue20
127712.5
15719.4
208412.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372602060801001203820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.1
8.89.0
Auto1.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 0.7
157
#10
19.40.7
16.015.3
Auto0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
3597
#18
17.60.1
16.016.1
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 5.1
1277
#31
12.50.7
3.42.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
3566
#30
14.60.1
11.711.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 2.4
2084
#36
12.20.7
9.58.7
Auto0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0