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Red50
151210.6
234236.1
192212.4
Blue42
540014.6
24622.4
33236.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393102060801001201401605042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.9
18.819.7
Auto1.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 13.7
246
#8
22.40.7
12.413.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
1922
#25
12.40.9
9.910.8
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 2.2
5400
#29
14.60.7
11.912.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
1512
#37
10.60.9
10.011.0
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 3.7
3323
#39
6.90.7
9.29.9
Auto0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0