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Red19
356614.6
540014.6
81120.9
Blue7
88521.0
12477.3
49875.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46260406080100120197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#19
20.92.0
19.817.8
Auto1.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
885
#12
21.01.8
19.317.5
Auto1.0
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
5400
#29
14.62.0
13.611.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 7.3
1247
#40
7.31.8
5.23.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
Third
3566
#30
14.62.0
11.39.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 9.2
4987
#38
5.51.8
5.43.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End0.0