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Red90
151718.4
234236.1
151954.8
Blue26
237011.3
130716.1
46716.2
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82250501001502009026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.81.6
41.142.6
Auto11.5
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 38.6
467
#28
16.20.7
14.613.9
Auto0.8
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Second
36.11.6
20.922.5
Auto1.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 20.0
1307
#23
16.10.7
9.08.3
Auto1.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
1517
#14
18.41.6
13.815.4
Auto2.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 7.0
2370
#27
11.30.7
11.310.6
Auto0.8
Teleop10.5
End0.0