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Red26
563310.6
516312.3
287616.6
Blue58
183123.1
404215.1
127712.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403402060801001201401602658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#16
16.61.1
17.316.1
Auto0.8
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 6.5
23.11.7
19.421.1
Auto0.7
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
5163
#32
12.31.1
13.912.7
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 2.8
4042
#20
15.11.7
11.413.1
Auto0.3
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
5633
#35
10.61.1
9.48.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1277
#31
12.51.7
5.77.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0