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Red54
395814.8
24622.4
23814.2
Blue21
19019.9
151210.6
33236.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403302060801001205421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#8
22.41.0
13.414.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 2.5
190
#24
19.91.1
17.015.9
Auto0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
3958
#22
14.81.0
13.014.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 4.2
1512
#37
10.61.1
10.59.4
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
238
#26
14.21.0
14.215.2
Auto1.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 7.3
3323
#39
6.91.1
7.76.6
Auto0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0