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Red40
46716.2
197310.1
151210.6
Blue34
15719.4
128915.4
192212.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443060801001201404034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#28
16.20.9
13.914.8
Auto0.8
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 3.2
157
#10
19.40.5
16.115.5
Auto0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
1512
#37
10.60.9
9.410.3
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 4.9
1289
#15
15.40.5
15.815.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
1973
#34
10.10.9
4.65.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1922
#25
12.40.5
9.48.9
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End0.0