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Red68
172920.1
49875.5
237011.3
Blue52
147415.0
13120.0
13828.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205304060801001201401606852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.13.5
11.515.0
Auto1.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 7.9
138
#5
28.00.2
20.420.6
Auto0.4
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
2370
#27
11.33.5
10.614.1
Auto0.8
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 8.7
131
#13
20.00.2
16.016.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
4987
#38
5.53.5
3.77.1
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 9.6
1474
#17
15.00.2
13.013.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0