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Red30
192212.4
46716.2
88521.0
Blue26
9523.7
516312.3
549110.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494301001502003026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#12
21.00.8
21.420.6
Auto1.0
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 2.6
95
#9
23.70.7
20.720.0
Auto1.3
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
467
#28
16.20.8
15.614.8
Auto0.8
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 3.9
5163
#32
12.30.7
13.112.3
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
1922
#25
12.40.8
13.212.4
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
5491
#33
10.90.7
11.610.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0