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Red5
563310.6
359717.6
13828.0
Blue52
19019.9
81120.9
24622.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56570100150200552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#5
28.01.3
27.125.9
Auto0.4
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 5.6
246
#8
22.40.4
21.421.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
3597
#18
17.61.3
18.917.6
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
811
#19
20.90.4
19.218.8
Auto1.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
5633
#35
10.61.3
11.910.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 9.3
190
#24
19.90.4
18.217.8
Auto0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0