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Red64
22233.1
162628.5
447511.2
Blue104
19326.5
29336.9
10218.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698005010015020025030035064104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#14
33.10.1
33.132.9
Auto0.2
Teleop32.9
End0.0
blue by 3.8
293
#8
36.90.4
36.536.8
Auto0.0
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Second
28.50.1
28.628.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 2.0
193
#24
26.50.4
26.126.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
4475
#32
11.20.1
11.211.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 7.6
102
#23
18.80.4
18.418.8
Auto0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0