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Red11
403510.8
351523.3
10218.8
Blue56
53107.0
86928.6
140357.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4910501502002501156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3515
#18
23.32.4
25.823.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 34.4
57.72.2
60.958.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop57.7
End0.0
Second
102
#23
18.82.4
20.818.4
Auto0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 9.8
869
#9
28.62.2
29.827.6
Auto1.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
4035
#28
10.82.4
13.210.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
5310
#33
7.02.2
9.27.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0