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Red112
181136.0
7541.2
137017.9
Blue90
22420.8
86928.6
428126.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926605015020011290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#5
41.20.3
39.940.3
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 12.6
869
#9
28.60.3
27.627.9
Auto1.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
36.00.3
34.835.1
Auto0.2
Teleop35.8
End0.0
red by 10.0
4281
#19
26.00.3
25.125.4
Auto0.7
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
1370
#22
17.90.3
16.717.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 2.9
224
#13
20.80.3
19.820.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0