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Red121
140357.7
167656.5
465319.0
Blue108
181136.0
7541.2
137017.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13982050100200250121108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.2
58.458.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop57.7
End0.0
red by 16.6
75
#5
41.20.2
40.841.0
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
56.50.2
57.257.0
Auto0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
red by 20.5
36.00.2
35.635.9
Auto0.2
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Third
4653
#17
19.00.2
19.719.4
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 1.1
1370
#22
17.90.2
17.617.8
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0