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Red49
19326.5
29336.9
122825.8
Blue134
331434.8
137017.9
167656.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions689805015020025049134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#8
36.91.3
33.332.0
Auto0.0
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 19.7
56.51.8
50.852.7
Auto0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Second
193
#24
26.51.3
23.722.4
Auto0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 8.2
3314
#11
34.81.8
33.134.9
Auto0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
1228
#16
25.81.3
18.116.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 7.8
1370
#22
17.91.8
13.315.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0