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Red26
71411.9
55510.8
351523.3
Blue71
207013.2
181136.0
436127.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375701001502002502671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3515
#18
23.30.8
20.119.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 12.7
36.00.8
31.432.2
Auto0.2
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Second
714
#29
11.90.8
11.811.1
Auto0.4
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 15.9
4361
#10
27.80.8
21.722.5
Auto0.4
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
555
#34
10.80.8
9.38.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
2070
#31
13.21.3
2.43.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0