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Red118
29336.9
55510.8
167656.5
Blue82
351523.3
167214.9
7541.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9246015020011882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.51.5
45.647.1
Auto0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
red by 15.4
75
#5
41.21.4
22.924.3
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
293
#8
36.91.5
33.334.8
Auto0.0
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 13.6
3515
#18
23.31.4
19.520.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
555
#34
10.81.5
8.810.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 4.0
1672
#30
14.91.4
12.313.6
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0