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Red128
61319.1
127925.2
140357.7
Blue107
428126.0
181136.0
86928.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77560100150128107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.72.6
42.745.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop57.7
End0.0
red by 21.7
36.02.3
22.324.5
Auto0.2
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Second
1279
#12
25.22.6
17.319.9
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
869
#9
28.62.3
21.123.4
Auto1.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
613
#25
19.12.6
16.519.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 7.0
4281
#19
26.02.3
18.220.4
Auto0.7
Teleop25.3
End0.0