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Red59
447511.2
255413.8
55510.8
Blue90
436127.8
403510.8
465319.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23610501001505990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2554
#26
13.82.1
11.713.8
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 14.0
4361
#10
27.81.6
25.727.3
Auto0.4
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
4475
#32
11.22.1
9.411.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 7.8
4653
#17
19.01.6
18.920.6
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
555
#34
10.82.1
8.410.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 0.1
4035
#28
10.81.6
12.614.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0