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Red102
351523.3
86928.6
331434.8
Blue46
573217.4
25778.6
167214.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions863205010015010246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#11
34.81.1
30.731.8
Auto0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 17.4
5732
#21
17.40.3
17.918.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
869
#9
28.61.1
27.328.3
Auto1.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
red by 13.7
1672
#30
14.90.2
13.313.5
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
3515
#18
23.31.1
23.024.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 14.7
2577
#35
8.60.2
10.811.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0