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Red137
428126.0
140357.7
22233.1
Blue104
22420.8
162628.5
10218.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122470100150200250137104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.71.4
59.560.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop57.7
End0.0
red by 29.2
28.52.2
24.827.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
222
#14
33.11.4
32.533.9
Auto0.2
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 12.3
224
#13
20.82.2
17.119.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
4281
#19
26.01.4
22.824.2
Auto0.7
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 7.2
102
#23
18.82.2
18.620.8
Auto0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0