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Red51
167214.9
19326.5
436127.8
Blue11
122825.8
130213.1
61319.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735802040801001201401605111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#10
27.80.8
29.128.3
Auto0.4
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 2.1
1228
#16
25.82.3
25.423.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
193
#24
26.50.8
28.127.3
Auto0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 7.5
613
#25
19.12.3
22.219.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
1672
#30
14.90.8
15.815.0
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 1.8
1302
#36
13.12.3
14.912.6
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0