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Red54
562418.6
167214.9
122825.8
Blue58
207013.2
314224.4
22420.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56502040801005458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1228
#16
25.80.1
23.123.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 1.3
3142
#27
24.40.6
21.121.7
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
5624
#20
18.60.2
18.818.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 2.1
224
#13
20.80.6
19.319.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
1672
#30
14.90.1
15.014.9
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 1.7
2070
#31
13.20.6
12.613.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0