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Red48
19326.5
127925.2
573217.4
Blue120
331434.8
201648.4
55510.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678605010015020025048120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#24
26.51.2
27.326.1
Auto0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 21.9
48.41.7
46.748.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Second
1279
#12
25.21.2
26.024.8
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
blue by 9.6
3314
#11
34.81.7
30.332.0
Auto0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
5732
#21
17.41.3
18.717.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 6.6
555
#34
10.81.7
9.110.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0