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Red138
201648.4
5652.7
71411.9
Blue78
181136.0
7541.2
137017.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1158705010015020013878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#3
52.70.4
53.453.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 11.6
75
#5
41.20.3
41.040.7
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
48.40.4
49.149.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 12.4
36.00.3
35.935.6
Auto0.2
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Third
714
#29
11.90.4
12.512.9
Auto0.4
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 6.0
1370
#22
17.90.3
17.817.5
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0