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Red128
140357.7
167656.5
465319.0
Blue108
122825.8
331434.8
314224.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144610100200250128108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.1
58.758.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop57.7
End0.0
red by 22.9
3314
#11
34.80.5
32.032.5
Auto0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
56.50.1
57.557.4
Auto0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
red by 30.8
1228
#16
25.80.5
23.023.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
4653
#17
19.00.1
20.019.8
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 5.4
3142
#27
24.40.5
21.722.2
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0