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Red138
140357.7
167656.5
465319.0
Blue116
122825.8
331434.8
314224.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14167050100200250138116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.1
58.258.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop57.7
End0.0
red by 22.9
3314
#11
34.80.6
33.534.1
Auto0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
56.50.1
57.057.0
Auto0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
red by 30.8
1228
#16
25.80.6
24.525.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
4653
#17
19.00.1
19.419.5
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 5.4
3142
#27
24.40.6
23.223.7
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0