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Red44
22230.1
30334.6
54387.0
Blue94
10321.0
86921.1
314219.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735501001502004494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#2
34.60.5
35.034.6
Auto0.1
Teleop34.4
End0.0
red by 13.4
869
#12
21.10.6
20.621.2
Auto0.8
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
222
#6
30.10.5
30.630.1
Auto0.5
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 9.1
103
#24
21.00.6
20.521.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
5438
#30
7.00.5
7.57.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 12.3
3142
#16
19.30.6
18.819.3
Auto0.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0