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Red84
10321.0
86921.1
314219.3
Blue54
29333.3
5635.7
4116.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538901001508454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#12
21.10.4
20.721.1
Auto0.8
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 14.6
56
#1
35.70.3
36.135.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Second
103
#24
21.00.4
20.621.0
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 12.3
293
#4
33.30.3
33.733.3
Auto0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Third
3142
#16
19.30.4
18.919.3
Auto0.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 3.1
41
#17
16.20.3
16.516.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0