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Red48
125719.6
4116.2
436117.7
Blue6
40359.2
1367.6
2245.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49240406080100120486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#10
19.60.1
20.220.3
Auto0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 10.5
4035
#25
9.21.9
11.09.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Second
4361
#15
17.70.1
9.39.4
Auto0.5
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 10.1
136
#32
7.61.9
7.75.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
41
#17
16.20.1
17.317.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 10.6
224
#37
5.51.9
9.77.8
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.0