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Red8
5558.8
53108.2
22311.2
Blue10
130217.1
86921.1
137011.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15460406080100120810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#28
11.21.0
12.111.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 9.9
869
#12
21.12.7
17.715.0
Auto0.8
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
555
#33
8.81.0
3.02.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 8.3
1302
#19
17.12.7
12.69.9
Auto0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
5310
#35
8.21.0
4.93.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 3.3
1370
#26
11.52.7
12.59.8
Auto0.4
Teleop11.1
End0.0