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Red39
127919.9
428118.2
22311.2
Blue42
122817.9
125719.6
192315.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4444304050603942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#18
19.90.5
19.919.4
Auto0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 0.3
1257
#10
19.60.3
20.320.0
Auto0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
18.20.5
14.814.3
Auto0.0
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 0.2
1228
#22
17.90.3
8.88.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
223
#28
11.20.5
11.110.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 3.9
1923
#23
15.10.3
16.416.1
Auto0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0