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Red11
40359.2
54387.0
86921.1
Blue18
26003.9
25546.0
428521.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321704060801001118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#12
21.11.5
15.013.4
Auto0.8
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4285
#14
21.50.2
12.512.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
4035
#25
9.21.5
9.17.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
red by 3.1
2554
#38
6.00.2
9.69.5
Auto0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.0
Third
5438
#30
7.01.5
6.65.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
red by 3.1
2600
#36
3.90.2
-2.2-2.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.1
End0.0