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Red132
22230.1
130217.1
314219.3
Blue50
29333.3
428118.2
40359.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42590208010012014013250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#6
30.15.2
25.730.9
Auto0.5
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 3.2
293
#4
33.30.5
34.834.2
Auto0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
3142
#16
19.35.2
10.315.6
Auto0.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 1.1
18.20.5
17.016.5
Auto0.0
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
1302
#19
17.15.2
10.315.6
Auto0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 8.0
4035
#25
9.20.5
7.16.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0