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Red76
167623.9
26003.9
86921.1
Blue62
21928.0
428521.5
447511.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060801001201401607662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#11
23.91.9
24.626.5
Auto0.3
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 4.1
219
#5
28.00.6
27.828.4
Auto0.2
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
869
#12
21.11.7
18.320.0
Auto0.8
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4285
#14
21.50.6
15.416.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
2600
#36
3.91.9
2.34.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.1
End0.0
blue by 7.6
4475
#29
11.50.6
8.89.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0